Modeling Risk: Applying Monte Carlo Simulation, Real Options Analysis, Forecasting, and Optimization Techniques
Product Description
This completely revised and updated edition of Applied Risk Analysis includes new case studies in modeling risk and uncertainty as well as a new risk analysis CD-ROM prepared by Dr. Mun. On the CD-ROM you’ll find his Risk Simulator and Real Options Super Lattice Solver software as well as many useful spreadsheet models.
“Johnathan Mun’s book is a sparkling jewel in my finance library. Mun demonstrates a deep understanding of the underlying mathematical theory in his ability to reduce complex concepts to lucid explanations and applications. For this reason, he’s my favorite writer in this field.”
—Janet Tavakoli, President, Tavakoli Structured Finance, Inc. and author of Collateralized Debt Obligations and Structured Finance
“A must-read for product portfolio managers . . . it captures the risk exposure of strategic investments, and provides management with estimates of potential outcomes and options for risk mitigation.”
—Rafael E. Gutierrez, Executive Director of Strategic Marketing and Planning, Seagate Technology, Inc.
“Once again, Dr. Mun has created a ‘must-have, must-read’ book for anyone interested in the practical application of risk analysis. Other books speak in academic generalities, or focus on one area of risk application. [This book] gets to the heart of the matter with applications for every area of risk analysis. You have a real option to buy almost any book?you should exercise your option and get this one!”
—Glenn Kautt, MBA, CFP, EA, President and Chairman, The Monitor Group, Inc.

It doesn’t matter whether your trading system is based on the fundamental knowledge of economics or technical analysis, the reality is you will occasionally find yourself with open Forex trades that aren’t working. And while the reasons for this may vary—from imprecise entries to bad stop-loss values—there are specific ways to rebound from such a situation.
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If you intend on successfully trading in today’s foreign exchange market, you need to be familiar with the strategies and systems that can help you capture consistent profits and effectively manage risk. Nobody knows this better than author John Person. With almost thirty years of experience in the trading business—as a broker, trader, and teacher of traders—Person understands what it takes to make it in this fast-paced environment, and with Forex Conquered, he wants to show you how.











